Fred Wilson's 2019 outlook – Crypto will enter new bullish wave after seeing bottom

Venture capital investor, Fred Wilson starts the new year by posting his prediction on what’s going to happen in 2019 on his website.

His prediction covers many aspects from politics, global economy, stock market, tech business, including cryptocurrency, quoting what he said, “Any set of predictions for 2019 from me on this blog would not be complete without some thoughts on crypto.”

He started by predicting the fall of President Trump due to the reaction of the House towards the report of Robert Muller about his illegal activities.

The “Washington drama” somehow will impact the US economy severely, starting with the capital markets to interest rates, which results in a weaker economy.

That said, the man behind various Web 2.0 investment, such as Twitter, Tumblr, Foursquare, Kickstarter and MongoDB is convinced that the crisis will not be experienced by the startup/tech economy.

Wilson believes the macro trend will not impact the startup/tech economy as it’s driven first and foremost by technical and creative innovation.

As for the crypto industry, he said, “I think we are in the process of finding the bottom on the large, liquid, and lasting crypto-tokens. But I think that process could take much of 2019 to play out.”

Furthermore, he added, “I expect we will see some bullish runs, followed by selling pressures taking us back to retest the lows. I think this bottoming out process will end sometime in 2019 and we will slowly enter a new bullish phase in crypto.”

Wilson thinks the next bullish phase is triggered by the fulfilment of promises of some projects from 2017, such as Filecoin and the Algorand project.

He also mentioned his expectation to see a number of “next gen” smart contract platforms that will challenge Ethereum, followed by Ethereum’s defending its leadership through a number of important system improvements.

Aside from that, the Union Square Ventures co-founder expects to see a wider adoption of cryptocurrency, particularly in developing countries through stablecoins, NFT/cryptoassets/cryptogaming, and earn/spending opportunities.

Having such bullish predictions towards crypto industry, Wilson stated that he still has some concerns about it, particularly related to the actions of “misguided regulators” that will “harm” high quality projects.

Moreover, the dark side of crypto, such as scams, failed projects, and losing investments will still exist in 2019, which he said, they could be “a drag on the sector.”

However, he also mentioned that it’s always the case with new emerging technology that allows anyone to set up shop and get going.

“Permissionless innovation produces the greatest gains over time but also comes with the inevitable bad actors and actions,” he said.

“Do I sound pessimistic? I suspect I do, but I am not. I am incredibly optimistic… It is going to be a doozy,” he closed his 2019 prediction.

 

02 JAN, 2019 | UPDATED: 02 JAN, 2019 BY FIFI ARISANDI

David

Bitcoin [BTC] Technical Analysis – Bull carries coin to green pastures

As the year comes to an end, Bitcoin [BTC] marks the end with a little slip. BTC, at the time of press, had slipped by 2.38% over the past 24 hours.

The coin was valued at $3,792.32 with a market cap of $66 billion. The coin registered a 24-hour trade volume of $4.7 billion with a fall of over 9% over the past seven days. The coin is still falling with a slip of 1.10% over the last hour.

1-hour

As per the one-hour chart of BTC, the coin observed a downtrend from $4034 to $3748.09, after which the coin shot up to $3736.51 to $3884.71. The coin then fell from $3914.04 to $3799.26. The coin is offered support at $3727, with immediate resistance at $3845.

Parabolic SAR hints towards a bearish as the markers align above the candlesticks.

Awesome Oscillator indicates a bearish momentum emerging, but as per the previous trend, it might be a short-lived one.

Chaikin Money Flow points above zero, marking a bullish market.

1-day

The one-day chart of the coin points towards a massive fall from $7359.99 to $6511.88, which further continues to $6259.35 to $3829. A miniscual uptrend was noticed from $3184.28 to $3576.12, with a resistance marked at $4075.33. BTC was offered support at $3184.28.

Bollinger Bands appears to be at a converging point, indicating a decreased volatility in the market. The moving average line is under the candlesticks, thus marking a bullish market.

MACD line is above the signal line hinting towards a bullish market.

Relative Strength Index indicates that the buying and selling pressures are evening each other out.

Conclusion

According to the indicators, Awesome Oscillator and Parabolic SAR a bearish market is predicted. However, Chaikin Money Flow, Bollinger Bands, and MACD point towards a bullish market.

 

Published 1 min ago on January 1, 2019 By Namrata Shukla

David