Analysis – Bitcoin primed for a price break out

Bitcoin is approaching an end to a trading pattern, that potentially spans back over 5 months with a $10000 range.

Bitcoin is sitting inside a mammoth 5-month trading pattern—with a possible breakout approaching in the next 10 days. The pattern is called a symmetrical triangle, and refers to a chart characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs.

Looking back over the last 160 days, bitcoin's price sat neatly inside this pattern–the first signs of it emerged in May this year, when bitcoin's price rallied from a low of $5,000.

From there, bitcoin gained steadily over the next two months, to hit a high of nearly $14,000 in June. That was followed by three distinct lower highs of $13000, $12000 and $11000, in July, August and September, as the chart below shows.

Bitcoin has been fitly into this triangle pattern, but for how much longer?

On the support (lower) side of the triangle—bitcoin saw two recent higher lows of $9350 and $9850, in late August and just 2 days ago on September 11.

More interesting than just the pattern, however, is the shape's length, and range in the price's movement—5 months and an astonishing $10,000 (from top to bottom). While it's impossible to predict what will happen next, when a break out does occur—i.e. a price drop or rise that falls outside the trend lines—it's like to be sizable. A movement as high as a $5,000 swing up, or down, over the next few weeks is not beyond expectations.

For now, all eyes seem to be on the expiry of this pattern—with many predicting that it will be on the exact day of the Bakkt bitcoin futures launch, coming up in just 10 days.

 

By Nawaz Sulemanji

September 13, 2019

David

Bitcoin price analysis – BTC/USD bounced from key support, further growth imminent

 

• BTC/USD managed to push for a reversal from the tested $9,800 support only to hit a snag at $10,200.

• Bitcoin must settle between $10,200 and $10,400 to allow the bulls to focus on higher levels heading towards $11,000.

Many cryptocurrency analysts and experts have become strongly bearish in the past few weeks. This was fueled by the failure to break the psychological resistance at $11,000 even after pushing for recovery from the recent dive to $9,300. Moreover, Bitcoin has had a rough time defending support areas, the latest being the dip below $10,000.

However, the 4-hour chart clearly shows an asset that has potential for growth. BTC/USD managed to push for a reversal from the tested $9,800 support. In fact, the price ascended to levels above the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) 4-hours but the momentum hit a dead-end at $10,200 (first resistance area).

Also supporting Bitcoin is the main trendline since August 29 lows. Besides, Elliot Wave Oscillator has posted four consecutive bullish session following the late Wednesday recovery. Trading at $10,101 at the time of writing, Bitcoin only needs a break above the $10,200 resistance. A move the will pave the way for a trajectory to $10,400 (second resistance and breakout point). It will still be a win for the bulls if the price settles between $10,200 and $10,400 as it will allow them to focus on the medium resistance between $10,800 and $11,000.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

 

John Isige – FXStreet

David

How Bitcoin Distribution Is a Bullish Sign For Greater Adoption

 

There are a number of differing metrics analysts use to determine the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. Hash rate and transactions are two of the most popular but distribution in terms of the number of addresses can also be used to determine adoption rates.

Bitcoin Addresses Increasing

Over the past two years the number of BTC addresses has surged indicating that the asset is undergoing greater adoption. The largest gain is the number of addresses with less than a million satoshis which also suggests a more even distribution that is not just a few whales or large exchanges.

According to director of research at The Block, Larry Cermak, this is a very bullish metric.

“This is probably the most bullish chart on Bitcoin I’ve seen to date. Even though a single person can own multiple addresses, this to me clearly indicates user growth and an improving distribution.”

The numbers of addresses holding very large amounts of BTC have not increased anywhere near the rate of the smaller ones. A major jump has occurred since 2017 in addresses holding just 100k satoshis despite the massive bear market of 2018. This could be a sign of mass accumulation of smaller amounts of Bitcoin.

In a similar observation, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong noted the increase in addresses holding 10BTC and that it too has hit a new high.

“Great charts from Coinmetrics, showing crypto industry growth. For instance, the number of addresses holding at least 10 Bitcoins recently hit an all-time high.”

Still Top Heavy?

It has often been suggested that a small number of whales can control a disproportionate amount of the supply of BTC, and thus influence its price. However, stats on Bitinfocharts.com suggest that the number of addresses holding just a dollars’ worth is also on the up.

The site suggests that almost half of all BTC addresses hold less than 100k satoshis. A quarter of addresses hold between 100k and a million satoshis and 17% contain between a million and ten million sats. Only ten percent or so of BTC addresses hold more than 1 Bitcoin according to the website, however it should be noted that there are a lot of coins being held in that ten percent!

 

 

Martin Young

 

David

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Weekly Forecast- Downside Thrust Before Fresh Rise?

• There was a steady rise in bitcoin price above the $10,500 resistance against the US Dollar.

• The price is currently correcting lower after it traded to a new monthly high close to $11,000.

• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $10,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

• There could be a downside correction towards the $10,100 support area before a fresh increase.

Bitcoin price is trading with a bullish bias above $10,000 against the US Dollar. BTC remains buy on dips as long as there is no daily close below $10,000.

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis (BTC)

In the last weekly forecast, we discussed the importance of the $10,000 resistance for bitcoin price against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair remained well bid and managed to surpass the $10,000 resistance. Moreover, there was a break above the $10,500 resistance and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). Finally, the price climbed above the $10,800 level and traded close to the $11,000 level.

A swing high was formed near $10,949 before the price started a downside correction. There was a sharp decline below the $10,800 and $10,500 support levels. Moreover, there was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $9,300 low to $10,949 high. Finally, there was a break below the $10,400 level. However, the price stayed above the $10,000 support and the 100 SMA.

Additionally, the price is trading nicely above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $9,300 low to $10,949 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $10,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. If there is a downside break below the trend line support, there could be a sharp decline below $10,000 in the near term.

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $10,600 level. If there is an upside break above $10,600, the price could revisit the $10,800 resistance. Finally, a close above the $11,000 level may perhaps set the pace for a larger upward move towards the $11,700 level.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price seems to be correcting gains, but it is trading nicely above the $10,200 support area. The main support is near $10,000, below which the price could turn bearish in the coming sessions. On the upside, the price might continue to struggle near $10,800 and $11,000. Overall, there could be another dip towards $10,100 before a fresh increase.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is about to move back into the bullish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is slowly rising towards the 55 level.

Major Support Level – $10,000

Major Resistance Level – $10,800

 

Aayush Jindal

David

Manny Pacquiao Releases His Own Cryptocurrency

The boxing prodigy from Philippine, Manny Pacquiao has announced the launch of his own cryptocurrency doing a concert in Manila city. The concert gathering had more than 2,000 fans to pimp up the fad for the new cryptocurrency. Sunday’s concert marked the unification of music with the virtual currency as Pacquiao recited songs from his hit album and abruptly announced the launch of his cryptocurrency right before the show came to an end.

“Pacquiao is idolized by many. People will be encouraged to check this innovation,” said Aaron Baetiong, a person who attended the concert, spoke about the “Pac” tokens.

In July, 40-year-old defeated Keith Thurman winning the Welterweight Super Championship of WBA. The man also boasts of being a Philippine senator, and endeavors earn through his brand new “Pac” tokens that let its users buy the merchandise as well as interact the celebrity through social media.

The token is also reported to be listed on GCOX, the Global Crypto Offering Exchange (GCOX) of Singapore with Pacquiao along with the ex-Liverpool & England soccer champion Michael Owen to be deemed as the private investors. They will also be accompanied by a person from the family of Abu Dhabi’s ruler, Sheikh Khaled bin Zayed al-Nahyan. Hence the stardom of the token is not just known to the world but also been back up by robust and powerful candidates.

This new token is right now acknowledged as the Pac token. Although, this token is reported to be listed on GCOX. Coming from a household name, the token will be a good acquaintance to global celebrities too.

Even the main website for the proprietary launch mentions that the champion’s status and fame will be promptly used to promote the adoption of the new tokens. Here are the exact words:

“PAC Token (PAC) rides on the advantage of blockchain by transforming the popularity and brand of Manny Pacquiao into crypto tokens, which are quantifiable and exchangeable. Millions of fans will now be able to get closer to their idol Manny Pacquiao by having access to his bespoke fan-celebrity programs powered by GCOX.”

 

 

BY SARA GILLARD

David

Bitcoin price prediction – BTC/USD key hurdles in the rearview ahead of the weekend-Bitcoin Confluence

 

• Bitcoin seems to be stuck in a range between $10,800 (range limit) and $10,400 (range support).

• A clear path exists between the immediate resistance ($10,791) and the next hurdle at $11,572.67.

Bitcoin bears pressed down on key support areas following the rejection around $10,800 but the buyers managed to keep the price above $10,500. Besides, Bitcoin seems to be stuck in range between $10,800 (range limit) and $10,400 (range support). A breakout is likely to take place ahead of the weekend session towards the coveted psychological level at $11,000.

 

BTC/USD 1-hour chart

As far as the confluence levels are concerned Bitcoin has pulled above the strongest resistance zones. In other words, the path of least resistance is to the upside in the short-term. Glancing upwards, $10,791 is the first hurdle. The various technical levels at the zone include SMA 10 15-mins, Previous High 15-mins, previous high 1-hour, Bollinger Band 4-h upper and the Bollinger Band 15-mins Upper.

A clear path exists between the immediate resistance and the next hurdle at $11,572.67. Highlighting this resistance area is the Fibonacci 161.8% 1-week and Pivot Point 1-month R1.

To the downside, immense support exists starting with $10,679: SMA 5 1-hour, Previous Low 1-h, Bollinger Band 15-mins Middle, Previous High 4-hour, BB 1-hour upper, previous low 15-mins and SMA 5 15-mins. The most significant support is the one at $10,567 while $10,456 and $10,121 will come in handy to give the bulls a breather in the event declines extend extensively.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

John Isige  FXStreet

David