Gold, silver down as USDX rallies, U.S. Treasury yields up-tick
Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in midday U.S. trading Tuesday, as a strong U.S. dollar index and rising U.S. Treasury yields have the metals market sellers in charge on this day. December gold was last down $14.00 at $1,953.10 and December silver was down $0.582 at $23.975.
The metals market bulls were also discouraged as China reported some more downbeat economic data. Its Caixin services purchasing managers index (PMI) came in at 51.8 is August versus 54.1 July and was below expectations of 53.5. The Caixin composite PMI was 51.7 versus 51.9 July. Recent weaker China economic data suggests less demand for raw commodities, including the metals.
Asian stock markets were mostly lower in overnight trading. U.S. stock indexes are mixed at midday. History shows the months of September and October can be rocky for the stock and financial markets.
Meantime, the Australia’s central bank kept its monetary policy unchanged but said further interest rate hikes may be necessary.
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The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar solidly up and at a six-month high. Nymex crude oil futures prices are solidly up and trading around $87.75 a barrel. Brent crude oil futures rose above $90 a barrel today. The benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching around 4.2%.
Technically, December gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, prices are still in a fledgling uptrend on the daily bar chart, but just barely. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the August low of $1,913.60. First resistance is seen at $1,965.00 and then at today’s high of $1,972.60. First support is seen at $1,950.00 and then at $1,940.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.
December silver futures bulls have lost their overall near-term technical advantage. A price downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at last week’s high of $25.425. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the August low of $22.585. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $24.655 and then at $25.00. Next support is seen at today’s low of $23.815 and then at $23.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.
December N.Y. copper closed up 20 points at 385.40 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high. The copper bulls and bears are back on a level overall near-term technical playing field. However, prices are starting to trend up. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the August high of 403.75 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the August low of 367.00 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 387.25 cents and then at last week’s high of 390.85 cents. First support is seen at 380.00 cents and then at last week’s low of 378.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.
By
Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
David