Corrective price gains for gold, silver on short covering
Gold prices are a bit firmer and silver solidly up in early U.S. trading Friday. Short covering in the futures markets is featured after December gold hit a 6.5-month low Thursday. A lower U.S. dollar index and a dip in U.S. Treasury yields today are friendly daily outside market elements for the metals markets. December gold was last up $5.60 at $1,884.20 and December silver was up $0.519 at $23.26.
Asian and European stocks were mixed to firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to higher openings when the New York day session begins. The stock indexes are seeing corrective rebounds from recent selling pressure. Reads a Wall Street Journal headline today: "The 2023 stock market rally sputters in new world of yield.";
Today is the last trading day of the week, of the month and of the quarter. That makes it an extra important trading day for markets, from a technical perspective.
The clock is ticking at the month of September winds down and the U.S. Congress has not come to agreement to fund the U.S. government. A shutdown looks likely this weekend. This matter still has traders and investors more risk averse.
In overnight news, the Euro zone September consumer price index came in at up 4.3%, year-on-year, compared to the August reading of up 5.2%. The August CPI was slightly below market expectations.
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Gold's selloff doesn't change the long-term bullish outlook – Saxo Bank
The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower on a downside correction after hitting a 10-month high earlier this week. Nymex crude oil prices are higher and trading around $92.50 a barrel. Meantime, the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching 4.549%.
U.S. economic data due for release Friday includes personal income and outlays, advance economic indicators, the ISM Chicago business survey and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.
Technically, the gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close in December futures above solid resistance at $1,950.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,850.00. First resistance is seen at Thursday's high of $1,896.80 and then at $1,900.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,879.60 and then at this week's low of $1,874.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0
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The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, there are stiff technical support layers just below the market that may halt the decline. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing December futures prices above solid technical resistance at this week's high of $24.05. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $22.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $23.345 and then at $23.50. Next support is seen at $23.00 and then at the overnight low of $22.815. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.
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By
Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
David