Crypto Analyst – Bitcoin Market Cap Due to Surpass $1 Trillion this Cycle, $8 Trillion Next

Crypto asset market analyst and partner at Adaptive Capital, Willy Woo, believes that the market capitalisation of Bitcoin alone will surpass $1 trillion dollars in the coming years. After letting off steam, he believes the next cycle will take Bitcoin’s market capitalisation to levels that rival that of gold today in terms of value.

The analyst also takes a rather unique, hyper extended view of Bitcoin. He consider the asset in the wider context of money and sees crypto as the beginning of “the digital age”.

Could Bitcoin Hit $50,000 by 2022?

Appearing on the Coinist Podcast earlier today, trader and Bitcoin optimist Willy Woo spoke about his current outlook on the crypto asset industry.

After discussion relating to his work with Adaptive Capital and his research into on-chain trading signals, Woo speculated on the future of Bitcoin. In response to a question about whether his much earlier call in which he stated that Bitcoin’s market capitalisation would reach that of gold by 2024, the analyst stated that he now felt it to be a little soon. Woo first made the call in 2012 when he was very new to the very new Bitcoin industry,

He stated that Bitcoin currently has another two to three years left of upside during the ongoing market cycle and that it will be during the bullish phase following a another lull that BTC surpasses gold as the planet’s primary store of value asset.

However, that’s not to say that this bullish cycle will not be impressive. The Adaptive partner believes that the price of Bitcoin will approach $50,000 at some point in the next few years. This will put its market capitalisation at around $1 trillion.

The 10,000 Year View of Money

Perhaps the most interesting portion of the interview comes during Woo’s closing thoughts. Taking a much longer view of Bitcoin, set in the context of the technology of money itself, Woo claims that Bitcoin represents the dawning of a new age in civilisation.

As we moved from hunter-gatherer societies, into agrarianism, industrialism, and beyond, the forms of money new technology makes possible and the requirements of money in ever-expanding communities slowly shift. Seashells were replaced by gold because it was a harder money, and gold was replaced by bank notes (backed by gold) because they were more useful in wider commerce.

Woo believes that the first digitally scarce asset, Bitcoin, is a crucial step forward for humans:

“If we’re in a digital age, we really want a digital currency and this is our first native digital currency… Bankers call [Bitcoin] a bubble, technologists call it a disruption, but students of history would call it the dawn of the digital age.”

 

 

 

 

Rick D News BTC

 

David

THE 30 PERCENT BITCOIN PRICE CORRECTION HAPPENED ALREADY?

The Rundown

• Bitcoin Price Drops Exactly 30%

• Back Above $11000

• Bitcoin Price Could Fall Back Again?

The much talked about 30% correction in Bitcoin price was hit pretty much spot on during yesterday’s US trading session. Many are now questioning whether they missed the dip and whether the bull run has resumed as BTC trades back above $11000 again today.

BITCOIN PRICE DROPS EXACTLY 30%

Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin price is back up again adding 9% on the day. Analysis of previous market cycles has shown that following an almost parabolic surge, BTC pulled back ~30% eight times in the past uptrend. A correction of similar magnitude has been expected this time and the target was hit a few hours ago.

From its recent high of $13,800, a 30% dip would send Bitcoin price back to $9,600. According to Tradingview.com BTC dipped to $9,620 marking a pullback of 30.3%, right on the money.

BACK ABOVE $11000

Since the short-lived dump, BTC price surged back above $11000 over the next few hours to settle at around $11294.6 +0.14% where it currently trades.

Trader and analyst ‘CryptoFibonacci’ noticed that the bounce touched the 200 EMA on the four-hour chart before returning to the 50 EMA where it may find resistance again.

“So, we did lose 10,900 and did fill one of the gaps. But, it did hold the 200 ema on this chart. A move back over the 50 ema here would do wonders for bulls. A rejection of it could lead it back down to fill that last gap.”

 

Fellow analyst, Josh Rager has looked at the bigger picture on the current weekly chart noting that the formation of a second doji indicates further indecision, a possible precursor to range-bound trading.

“The current $BTC weekly chart is quite hilarious with those wicks. Trends is still bullish even though we could go sideways here and range between a couple thousand dollars in the coming weeks.”

BITCOIN PRICE COULD FALL BACK AGAIN?

The trading week is far from over yet and BTC could fall further back, but considering its epic recovery from the mid $9,000s over the past few hours this does not seem to be likely at the moment.

With two $500+ hourly candles overnight the bulls appear to be back in force so the next few hours will be critical for Bitcoin price. The big green hammer on the daily chart is also a strong sign that the short-lived downtrend has just reversed.

Many will be waking in Asia and Europe today wondering if they had missed the dip.

 

 

MARTIN YOUNG | JUL 02, 2019 | 23:46

 

David

Cryptocurrency market update – Wounded bulls are in a tactical retreat

• The cryptocurrency market is losing ground, controlled by bears.

• Bitcoin, Ethereum are still deep in red on a day-on-day basis.

The cryptocurrency market lived through another bloody red day as Bitcoin and all major altcoins are nursing significant losses ranging from 1% to 7%. The total capitalization of all digital assets in circulation dropped to $303 billion from $320 billion on Monday, while an average daily trading volume reduced to $86 billion from $90 billion this time on Monday. Bitcoin continued losing its market value, which is now 60.3% from over 63% registered in the previous week.
 

Top-4 coins price overview

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) settled above $10,000 handle after a short-lived collapse to $9,977 on Monday. The first digital asset is one of the worst performing coins out of top-20, with nearly 7% of day-on-day losses. A failure to recover above critical $11,000 may spell disaster for Bitcoin bulls and create an environment for a deeper downside correction.

Ethereum, the second largest digital asset with the current market capitalization of $30.60 billion, has lost over 3% of its value on a day-on-day basis. After a failed attempt to recover above $300, the price has settled at $288, within a whisker of the intraday low. ETH/USD is driven by the bearish sentiments that gripped the market, which means that the selling pressure will not subside in the nearest future.

Ripple's XRP clinches to $0.40 handle. The third largest digital asset with the current market capitalization of $17.0 billion has lost over 2% since the beginning of the day, and 3% on a day-on-day basis. At the time of writing, XRP/USD is changing hands at $0.4008, having recovered from the intraday lows of $0.3981

Litecoin (LTC/USD) is exploring territory below $120.0. The fourth largest coin with the current market capitalization of $7.3 billion managed to recover from the Asian low of $117.64, though its price is still 5% lower from this time on Monday. LTC/USD is moving in sync with the broader market.
 

 

Tanya Abrosimova

FXStreet 24 minutes ago

David

BITCOIN PRICE CORRECTION DEEPENS – WEEKLY CLOSE LOOKS BEARISH

The Rundown

• Bitcoin Price Doji Turns Bearish

• Bitcoin Dominance Still Raging

The Bitcoin price pullback which began at the end of last week has accelerated this Monday morning despite a relatively stable weekend. The weekly candle has closed off with a bearish signal indicating further losses could be coming.

BITCOIN PRICE DOJI TURNS BEARISH

Bitcoin price has been in decline for the past 24 hours following a weekend push back over $12k. The slide led to a drop of over a thousand dollars, or around 8%, in BTC price as the correction appears to be deepening. On the hourly chart Bitcoin price has dropped below both the 50 and 200 moving averages and is currently just above $11000, trading at $10930.9 +0.56%.

The weekly chart, however, looks a little more ominous as a large doji, or shooting star has appeared which is often the sign of indecision between buyers and sellers leading to a possible trend reversal. Trader Josh Rager noticed this and while analyzing the charts, he added that a couple of weeks on the downside would lead to prime buying opportunities.

“$BTC Monthly close looks good. Weekly close looks ugly, you’ll likely see this shooting star type of doji all over CT. Which typically is a signal for reversal & we could see a couple of down weeks for Bitcoin. But be happy as that would mean prime buying opportunities ahead,”

Looking at the daily chart, support lies at the 50-day moving average which is at the $9000 level. Many have talked about a dip of over 30 percent which has yet to materialize. At the moment BTC price is down around 20% from its recent high so a further ten percent drop or more would take it to the mid $9,000s which is also where the purported support lies. Trader ‘DonAlt’ also agrees that Bitcoin price often retraces deep in bull markets.

“$BTC weekly update: This chart looks like ass. Not necessarily a bad thing though, BTC likes to retrace deep in bull markets. The only way it can do so is by looking terrible. Waiting for support or resistance to get hit to make a move.”

BITCOIN DOMINANCE STILL RAGING

Bitcoin dominance is still over 60% as altcoins are getting crushed again. Total market capitalization has shrunk by $25 billion over the past day or so as everything is getting pulled into the crypto quagmire.

Most experienced traders are in agreement that this is a healthy movement for markets. Many will be keenly eyeing these support levels for new entry positions for the next leg up.

 

 

MARTIN YOUNG | JUN 30, 2019 | 23:32

David

The Crypto Week – Bitcoin Leads the Way as Volatility Grips the Majors

Bitcoin is on the move early but will need the support of the broader market to take a run at $13,000 levels…

While the Bitcoin bulls maintained control, it has been a mixed week for the rest of the pack.

Bitcoin fell by 3.38% on Saturday. Partially reversing a 10.18% rally from Friday, Bitcoin ended the day at $11,920.

A bearish start to the day saw Bitcoin slide from an intraday high $12,338 to an early morning intraday low $11,354.

Bitcoin steered clear of the first major support level at $11,285.67 and the 23.6% FIB of $11,275 before finding support.

Recovering through the remainder of the day, Bitcoin moved back through to $12,000 levels before a late pullback.

For the current week, Bitcoin was up by 9.3%, which came off the back of 4 days in the green out of the last 6.

The Rest of the Pack

Across the rest of the top 10 cryptos, it was a bullish start to the weekend, leaving Bitcoin to buck the trend on the day.

Across the rest of the majors, Litecoin led the way, rallying by 11.6% to reverse most of a Thursday 12.6% sell-off.

Stellar’s Lumen (+3.87%), EOS (+2.59%), and Ethereum (+2.46%) saw solid gains on the day.

For the current week, Bitcoin led the way with its 9.3% rally, Monday through Saturday.

Stellar’s Lumen and Ethereum were also in the green for the current week, with gains of 8% and 3.3% respectively.

The rest of the pack were in the red, however, with a broad-based crypto sell-off doing the damage on Thursday.

Leading the way down was EOS, which tumbled by 13%. Bitcoin Cash SV and Ripple’s XRP also saw heavy losses, with declines of 10.2% and 9.4% respectively.

Bitcoin Cash ABC (-6.34%), Binance Coin (-4.35%) and Litecoin (-2.52%) saw more modest losses on the week.

A choppy week saw the total crypto market cap rise from $324bn to a Thursday high $386.6bn before easing back. At the time of writing, the total crypto market cap stood at $344.83bn.

24-hour trading volumes were also on the up, rising from $70.7bn levels to hit $140bn levels on Thursday. At the time of writing, 24-hour trading volumes stood at $88.43bn.

This Morning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up by 1.88% to $12,144.0.

A bullish start to the day saw Bitcoin rise from a morning low $11,920 to a high $12,193 before easing back.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested early on.

Across the rest of the majors, it was a mixed start to the day. Ethereum (+0.71%), EOS (+0.22%), Ripple’s XRP (+0.22%) and Bitcoin Cash ABC (+0.66%) were in positive territory.

On the slide, however, were Stellar’s Lumen (-1.2%), Litecoin (-0.98%), and Binance Coin (-1.64%).

Bitcoin Cash SV was flat with just a 0.05% loss at the time of writing.

For the Day Ahead

Bitcoin would need to hold onto $12,000 levels through the morning to support another run at the first major resistance level at $12,390.33.

An early move through the morning high $12,193 to $12,200 levels would signal the start of a more material rally on the day.

Bitcoin would need the support of the broader market for a break out from the first major resistance level. Barring a broad-based crypto rally, Bitcoin will likely come up short of the second major resistance level at $12,860.67.

Failure to hold onto $12,000 levels could see Bitcoin hit reverse. A fall through to $11,850 levels would bring the first major support level at $11,397.33 into play.

Barring a broad-based crypto sell-off, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$11,000 support levels on the day.

 

Bob Mason

Jun 30, 2019 3:32 AM GMT

David

 

Bitcoin almost wipes out its mega gain just as swiftly as it came

• Bitcoin's retreat accelerated Thursday and put the coin’s price back to nearly the same level as just five days ago

• Alternative coins also fell Thursday, with both Ether and Litecoin dropping 14%

 

NEW YORK: Bitcoin’s rise was meteoric this week — and its decline has been just as swift.

It’s easy come, easy go in the crypto world, where a frenzy over Bitcoin pushed its price to nearly $14,000 on Wednesday, its highest level since January 2018. The largest digital asset then reversed course in a matter of minutes after a prominent cryptocurrency exchange reported an outage. The retreat accelerated Thursday and put the coin’s price back to nearly the same level as just five days ago.

The jump in prices brought back memories of the crypto bubble that burst at the end of 2017, when Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies — beset by regulatory setbacks and fraud-related issues — fell from grace. Bitcoin’s price, for instance, languished around $3,600 just six months ago.

Crypto bulls were heartened this year after numerous Wall Street mainstays showed increased interest and wider acceptance of cryptocurrencies and their underlying blockchain technology, helping to push prices higher. Things turned parabolic earlier this month when Facebook Inc. unveiled plans for its own digital currency — many proponents cited the move as long-sought validation of the potential digital assets have to drastically alter the global financial system.

But Thursday’s reversal prompted one of Bitcoin’s biggest proponents, Mike Novogratz, to lament on not having taken more money off the table before the coin lost nearly all its gains. That may have contributed to its swift demise, according to John Spallanzani, portfolio manager at Miller Value Partners.

It’s a very “tight-knit market," said Spallanzani. “Most likely Novo hitting bids spread like wildfire."

Bitcoin dropped as much as 19% on Thursday, paring the loss to 16% at the end of the day. It was up 4.2% to $11,137 as of 10:50 a.m. in Hong Kong on Friday. Volatility is near the highest levels since early 2018, when the crypto bubble was bursting.

“It seems the crypto market got a bit too hot yesterday and is now cooling down," wrote Mati Greenspan, senior market analyst at trading platform eToro, in a note. “What an incredible market where the price can crash about 15% in less than an hour and bring us back to the highs of the previous trading day."

Alternative coins also fell Thursday, with both Ether and Litecoin dropping 14%. The Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index, which tracks some of the largest digital assets, dropped 19%.

 

Updated: 28 Jun 2019, 09:07 AM IST

Vildana Hajric , Bloomberg

David

Bitcoin price prediction – Bulls must rally together to re-enter the $13,000 zone – Confluence Detector

 

• BTC/USD has gone down from $12,850 to $12,715 in the early hours of Thursday.

• Bulls will need to overcome the $12,800 resistance level.

Bitcoin has had a bearish breakout this Thursday as the price has gone down from $12,850 to $12,715. The price fell following the Coinbase outage. The bulls will want to rally together and re-enter the $13,000-zone. However, the confluence detector shows us that there is a healthy resistance level at $12,800.

BTC/USD daily confluence detector

The two resistance levels are at $12,800 and $13,025. The $12,800 has no confluences while the $13,025 has the daily 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
 

There is only one support level at $12,500, which has the daily 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.

 

Rajarshi Mitra

FXStreet

David

Bitcoin tops $12,000 for the first time January 2018

On a year-to-date basis, bitcoin has risen 216 per cent to $12,155 on June 26 against $3843.52 on January 1.

NEW DELHI: Bitcoin prices surpassed $12,000 on Wednesday for the first time since January 2018. The interest in the cryptocurrency rose after Facebook unveiled its own digital unit Libra.

On a year-to-date basis, bitcoin has risen 216 per cent to $12,155 on June 26 against $3843.52 on January 1. The currency is still way below its record level of $20,000 witnessed at the end of 2017.

On the other hand, the benchmark equity indices BSE Sensex has gained nearly 9 per cent this ye ..

However, holding, selling or dealing in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin could soon land you in jail for 10 years in India.

The "Banning of Cryptocurrency and Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill 2019" draft has proposed 10-year prison sentence for persons who "mine, generate, hold, sell, transfer, dispose, issue or deal in cryptocurrencies, according to a report by IANS on June 7.

Besides making it completely illegal, the bill makes holding of cryptos a non-bailable offence.

A cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security and is generally based on blockchain technology, a distributed ledger enforced by a disparate network of computers. Bitcoin is the most popular cryptocurrency in the world.

Facebook plans to launch Libra next year, with the backing by a basket of real-world currencies and a consortium of companies including Visa, MasterCard, PayPal and Uber.

 

 

ETMarkets.com|Jun 26, 2019, 10.10 AM IST

David

Bitcoin climbs above $11,000

The cryptocurrency gains 13 per cent from previous close

HONG KONG, JUNE 24

Bitcoin traded above $11,000 for the first time in 15 months, recouping more than half of the parabolic increase that captured the attention of mainstream investors before the cryptocurrency bubble burst last year.

The bounce-back of Bitcoin has been fairly extraordinary, said George McDonaugh, chief executive and co-founder of London-based blockchain and cryptocurrency investment firm KR1 Plc. Money didn’t leave the asset behind, it just sat on the sidelines waiting to get back in.

Bitcoin surged as high as $11,251.21 on Monday, a 13 per cent gain from late Friday that put it at the highest levels since March 2018. It was at $10,815 as of 7:10 am in Hong Kong. The largest cryptocurrency had a furious run higher in late 2017 that culminated with a top above $19,500, before an almost-as-relentless move downward over much of 2018. It languished around the $3,300 to $4,100 range for several months.

Bitcoin’s ride back accelerated in April, puzzling onlookers trying to pinpoint a reason for the surge. A study by Indexica, an alternative data provider, showed three main drivers: a more complex conversation surrounding Bitcoin, fewer concerns about fraud and a shift in the tense of how Bitcoin is talked about from the past to the future.

The market has matured greatly since the last time Bitcoin crossed $10,000, said Matt Greenspan, a senior market analyst at eToro. This run is far more justified given the current level of adoption.

In contrast with last year, there are now signs of renewed mainstream interest in cryptocurrencies and the underlying blockchain technology, most prominently Facebook’s Libra. The social-media giant is working with a broad group of partners from Visa Inc. to Uber Technologies Inc. to develop the system, which has already attracted attention and criticism from politicians raising privacy and security concerns.

The advent of Libra is validating the crypto space and sending all the major digital coins higher, said Edward Moya, chief market strategist at Oanda Corp. in New York. Bitcoin volatility is likely to persist, with $12,000 and $15,000 as the next two critical resistance levels.

Still, the speed of the rally has some observers warning caution is once again warranted. To Whitney Tilson, founder of Empire Financial Research and a former hedge-fund manager, Bitcoin is exhibit A in the lexicon of scams that enrich insiders at the expense of average folks.

Don’t get fooled by the dead-cat bounce this year, Tilson said in comments last week. Mark my words: A year from now, it will be a lot lower. This is a techno-libertarian pump-and-dump scheme that will end in ruin.

 

Published on June 24, 2019

Hindu Business Line

David

The Real Reason Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple's XRP, And Litecoin Suddenly Rocketed?

Bitcoin, ethereum, Ripple's XRP, and litecoin suddenly rocketed this weekend, with the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, bitcoin, shooting past the psychological $10,000 per bitcoin mark to highs of $11,200 on the Luxembourg-based Bitstamp exchange.

Ethereum, Ripple's XRP, and litecoin all made double-digit gains, meanwhile, with the sudden push higher causing many to recall the great bitcoin and cryptocurrency bull run of late 2017 which saw the bitcoin price go from $10,000 per bitcoin to almost $20,000 in under 20 days.

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency analysts have been closely looking for the cause of the sudden price spike, which added some $30 billion to the total value of the world's cryptocurrencies over just two days, with Facebook's potential rival to bitcoin and next year's bitcoin halvening event two commonly named potential catalysts.

However, the bitcoin price spike has been led by India, with bitcoin trading at a $500 premium on the few remaining local exchanges as the government cracks down on internet services such as messaging app Telegram and news aggregator Reddit.

Earlier this month, an Indian government panel reportedly recommended banning bitcoin, which it branded a Ponzi scheme, and a blanket ban on the sale, purchase, and issuance of cryptocurrencies in the country.

Though the panel recommended banning bitcoin, some in the country are skeptical about its implementation, pointing to a previous recommendation that never came to pass.

However, India, under prime minister Narendra Modi, has had an unconventional approach to monetary policy, with the government plunging the country into chaos in 2016 by suddenly banning some higher value bank notes.

Some also think that Facebook's planned cryptocurrency has given legitimacy to bitcoin and other decentralized cryptocurrencies, making it more difficult for India to justify a complete ban.

"The panel report held weight before Facebook announced its plans. The tech giant launching a similar currency provides some sense of legitimacy,” Nischal Shetty, chief executive of Indian cryptocurrency exchange WaxirX told Quartz, a business news outlet.

"If Facebook is going to come up with this, then other tech companies may follow suit. It is hard to believe the government will say that such big companies are also into a Ponzi scheme."

Attempts to ban bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, decentralized internet services which are naturally resilient to censorship, could have a Streisand effect, proving the need for them and making people more aware they exist.

Meanwhile, analysts and trading experts believe Facebook's Libra cryptocurrency could give bitcoin a further boost and potentially push it back to the heady days of late 2017.

"Bullish investors believe if Facebook's crypto Libra becomes a trusted payment mechanism then people are also more likely to trust bitcoin as a reliable long-term store of value, a digital gold," said Glen Goodman, author of bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading advice book, The Crypto Trader.

"Many traders will be looking to take some profits off the table now, but it's worth remembering that last time bitcoin's price broke through $10,000 it then hit it's all-time high of nearly $20,000 just 16 days later."

 

 

Billy Bambrough

 

David