Why the fall could finally lift lagging gold miners

Why the fall could finally lift lagging gold miners

https://kitco-podcast.simplecast.com/episodes/why-the-fall-could-finally-lift-lagging-gold-miners

The gold miners and juniors are trading at significant lows despite the yellow metal pushing through $1,800 this week, noted Greg Johnson, CEO of Metallic Minerals and chair of the Metallic Group.

On Friday Johnson recorded Kitco Roundtable podcast with Mining Audiences Manager Michael McCrae and Kitco correspondent Paul Harris.

Gold and gold equities were near an all-time high a year ago, noted Johnson. Since then prices have slid with the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners down 28%.

"The juniors tend to correct more. They also go up more during the upper legs of the cycle," said Johnson. "We're coming out of a summer…a lot of people checked out. I'm optimistic that we may see better markets in September. The [past] 12 months is quite a healthy correction, and it's presented a real investment opportunity.

The podcast also referenced the Financial Review's coverage of Kuniko.

By Michael McCrae

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

 

David

Gold and silver move lower ahead of the European open

Gold and silver move lower ahead of the European open

Both gold and silver have moved down in the Aisa Pac session. Gold is trading -0.24% in the red while silver has fallen just over half a percent. Looking at the rest of the commodities complex, copper has dropped -0.68% but spot WTI bucked the trend to trade 0.09% higher.

It was a mixed session overnight in the indices as the ASX (-0.54%) and Shanghai Composite (-0.64%) both fell but the Nikkei 225 traded 0.06% higher. Futures markets are pointing towards a negative cash open.

In FX markets, the U.S. dollar index moved 0.11% higher overnight. The commodities currencies all suffered as USD/CAD (0.27%) pushed up and AUD/USD (-0.26%) and NZD/USD (-0.21%) both dropped. In the crypto space, retreated from the $50k zone and now trades at $47,054.

Looking at the news stories from overnight, the PBOC will use multiple tools to ensure reasonably ample market liquidity.

Australian Private Capital Expenditure (capex) for Q2 2021 +4.4% q/q (vs. expected 2.5% q/q, prior 6.3%).

German GfK Consumer Confidence Sep: -1.2 (est -0.5; prevR -0.4; prev -0.3).

The Bank of Korea has lifted its interest rate for the first time in 3 years. The central bank moved its main rate to 0.75%.

U.K. production hits its lowest level since the 1950s.

Japan's ruling LDP party agreed to conduct a leadership election on 29th September.

Chile's Salvador copper mine workers have deemed a wage offer from Codelco as unacceptable.

Looking ahead to the rest of the session highlights include The Jackson Hole Symposium, ECB minutes, U.S. initial jobless claims and comments from Fed's Kaplan, Bullard and ECB's Schnabel.

By Rajan Dhall

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

 

David

​​​​​​​Gold and silver slip ahead of the European open

Gold and silver slip ahead of the European open

Gold and silver have moved lower heading into the European cash open. The yellow metal is trading -0.38% lower while silver has dropped -0.43%. In the rest of the commodities complex, copper is just above flat while spot WTI has called -0.37%.

Risk sentiment overnight was slightly mixed. The ASX (0.33%) and Shanghai Composite (0.60%) traded well but the Nikkei 226 traded just under flat. Futures in Europe are also pointing towards a mixed open.

In FX markets, the dollar index is 0.13% higher and the biggest mover is AUD/USD which fell 0.20%. BTC/USD is still flirting with the $50K area.

Looking at some of the news stories overnight, BOJ's Nakamura has said the rise in COVID-19 infections outpacing what we expected in July.

US VP Harris stated, "we need to raise the pressure on Beijing" and challenge the bullying from the nation.

Australia Construction work done for Q2 +0.8% q/q (vs. expected 2.5%, prior 2.4%).

Citi is considering offering bitcoin futures trading to some institutional clients.

China's Ningbo port has now reopened after 2 days following a COVID-19 outbreak.

New Zealand trade balance for July NZD -402m (vs. prior NZD 261m).

The U.S. House voted to approve a blueprint for the infrastructure plans worth around $3.5trl (220 vs 212).

Looking ahead to the rest of the session highlights include German IFO, U.S. durable goods data, weekly DoE's and comments from ECB's de Guindos.

By Rajan Dhall

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

 

David

Gold and silver trade flat heading into the European open

Gold and silver trade flat heading into the European open

After a decent session yesterday, in which gold rose 1.36% the yellow metal is flat this morning leading into the European open. Silver is trading 0.09% higher overnight at $23.60/oz but has a resistance level at $23.78/oz to contend with. In the rest of the commodities complex copper (0.10%) and spot WTI (0.77%) are both trading higher.

In terms of risk sentiment, indices in the Asia Pac area traded well overnight. The Nikkei 225 (0.87%), ASX (0.17%) and Shanghai Composite (1.02%) all moved higher once again. Futures in Europe are pointing towards a positive cash open.

In the FX markets, the antipodeans moved higher overnight. AUD/USD moved up 0.33% but the biggest mover was NZD/USD which jumped 0.48%. In the crypto space, bitcoin is once again hovering around the $50K market after briefly trading above the psychological area on Monday.

In terms of news, Chinese President Xi may not be attending the G20 summit in Rome. This would delay a meeting with him and U.S. president Biden.

Sticking with the two biggest economic powerhouses, Kamala Harris said China's actions in the South Sea continue to undermine rules-based order and sovereignty of nations.

In Germany, the latest polls put Angela Merkel's conservative party head to head with the SPD's (23%).

Germany Q2 final GDP +1.6% vs +1.5% q/q prelim.

Australia weekly consumer sentiment survey: 101.6 (previous week 101.1).

New Zealand Retail sales excl. inflation for Q2: +3.3% q/q (prior 2.5%).

The NZ finance Minister Robertson says the nation entered the lockdown with a strong economic position.

Looking ahead to the rest of the session highlights include U.S. new home sales, weekly oil API data and comments from ECB's Schnabel.

By Rajan Dhall

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

 

David

Gold and silver start the week on the front foot

Gold and silver start the week on the front foot

Gold (0.24%) and silver (0.82%) have both moved higher this morning ahead of the start of the new trading week. gold finished last week marginally higher and gapped up at the open on to pare some of those gains and trade at $1784.92/oz. Copper and oil have also had a good start to the week moving up 0.52% and 1.97% respectively.

Over in the Asia Pac area, the risk sentiment was positive overnight. The Nikkei 225 (1.78%), ASX (0.39%), and Shanghai Composite (1.43%) all traded in the black. Futures in Europe are pointing towards a positive cash open.

In the FX market, the dollar index has fallen 0.09% and the biggest mover is USD/CAD which lost 0.44% overnight. In the crypto space, BTC/USD just broke $50k to reach the highest level in 100 days.

Looking at the major news stories from the weekend and overnight, Fed's Kaplan stated that if the delta variant would be persistent or start to affect demand the Fed would have to adjust their policy views.

The Chinese Commerce Minister says the country may face a more complicated foreign trade situation next year.

New Zealand's PM Ardern says nationwide lockdown extended until midnight on Friday.

RBNZ Chief Economist Ha says there is no pressure to act on monetary policy.

Sweden’s Prime Minister Stefan Lofven said that he will end his seven-year term in November and step down as the leader of the Social Democrats.

UK PM Johnson will apparently personally ask US President Biden for a delay to the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan.

PayPal will allow customers in the UK to buy, sell and hold bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, starting this week

Australia preliminary PMIs August: manufacturing 51.7 (from prior 56.9.

In the rest of the session we will be looking out for manufacturing PMI's from the major nations and U.S. existing home sales.

By Rajan Dhall

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

David

Gold fails at $1,800, another selloff might be on is way

Gold fails at $1,800, another selloff might be on is wtay

 

Even though gold stabilized after last week's flash crash, it failed to breach the $1,800 an ounce level. Markets are keeping a very close eye on the delta variant, Afghanistan headlines, and the Federal Reserve's tapering signals at the upcoming Jackson Hole meeting.

 

Here's a look at Kitco's top 3 stories of the week:

 

3. Gold price pauses near $1,800, analysts warn of another selloff

 

2. Palantir buys $50 million worth of gold bars in August in preparation for a 'black swan event'

 

1. Afghanistan's gold stash is out of the Taliban's reach

 

By Anna Golubova

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

David

Gold bull Peter Schiff regrets not getting into bitcoin, and now its too late as its days are numbered

Gold bull Peter Schiff regrets not getting into bitcoin, and now its too late as its days are numbered

Prominent gold bull Peter Schiff is once again making waves in the crypto economy after saying in a recent podcast that he regrets not buying bitcoin when he first heard about it; however, he added that it is now too late to get into the digital currency as its future is limited.

In a conversation with Natalie Brunell during her Coin Stories Podcast, Schiff, chief economist and chief global strategist at Euro Pacific Capital and chairman of Schiff, said that people started talking to him about bitcoin when the price was under $10 a token. He added that the concept behind the digital currency was intriguing.

He explained that the idea of having a decentralized currency sounded appealing; however, he saw some faults in the fledging market and couldn't see its potential.

"I did not at that point in time foresee that it could be so widely adopted by so many people. Certainly, I didn't foresee major uh companies or investment banks getting involved. I know that I was mistaken that this thing could ever get to such a big bubble," he said during the podcast. "I mean, I appreciated what it was trying to do. As a hard money guy, as a libertarian, I appreciated it. I just was more focused on the underlying flaws."

Although Schiff shows some regret for missing the initial bitcoin boat, he said that he has moved on and it wouldn't invest in it now as he expects the digital currency market to eventually become worthless.

"I wouldn't even consider buying it now. As far as I'm concerned, it's all risk. The upside is limited, and the downside is huge," he said.

While people are still making money on bitcoin as an investment, Schiff said that bitcoin is in a bubble and its future is limited. He compared the crypto market to the early 2000s dot-com rally and the 2008 housing market.

"There are a lot of smart people that are in bitcoin. There are a lot of smart people in dot com stocks that went bankrupt in 2000. There were a lot of smart people in the mortgage market," he said. "there's always a lot of smart people on the wrong side of the trade. But there's also a lot of smart people who have completely rejected bitcoin. I think there are more smart people on my side."

When it comes to real value, Schiff said that he still prefers gold. He said that he doesn't believe that bitcoin's popularity is taking momentum away from the precious metal.

He added that bitcoin can't compete with gold's 5,000-year history as a store of value.

"The headwind for gold right now, temporarily, is the false belief that inflation is transitory; that the Fed is going to normalize interest rates and shrink its balance… that it's going to bring inflation back down to 2%. I think that view is completely wrong, but that is the view that dominates the market. At some point, that view is going to change either because the Fed admits that it's not going to do those things or the market figures it out on its own."

By Neils Christensen

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

David

Gold and silver struggle leading into the European open

Gold and silver struggle leading into the European open

Gold and silver have had a heavy session overnight with the yellow metal trading -0.61% lower while silver dropped -1.34%. In the rest of the commodities complex, spot WTI fell -0.61% and copper also struggled, losing -0.69% of its value.

Following a poor performance on Wall Street, the Nikkei 225 (-1.10%), ASX (-0.50%), and Shanghai Composite (-0.52%) all underperformed. Futures in Europe are pointing towards a negative cash open.

In FX markets, the dollar index moved higher overnight by 0.31%. The biggest loser was AUD/USD (-0.71%) but the greenback performed well against all the other majors. In the crypto space, BTC/USD is only marginally lower trading at $44,428.

In terms of news, the FOMC minutes noted that "substantial further progress" had not been met yet in the U.S. but most members said it could be time to taper by the end of this year. Risk sentiment turned after the FOMC minutes.

Australia July employment +2.2K vs -46.2K expected.

Japan August Reuters Tankan manufacturing +33 vs +25 prior.

U.S. president Biden's approval rating dipped below 50% for the first time in office.

Fed's Bullard said misjudging inflation could lead to very disruptive hikes.

Antofagasta H1 Revenue hit $3.59B and EBITDA reached $2.36B (est $2.42B).

Looking ahead to the rest of the session highlights include U.S. initial jobless claims, Philly Fed manufacturing data and Canadian ADP employment data.

 

By Rajan Dhall

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

David

Gold and silver move up ahead of the European cash open

Gold and silver move up ahead of the European cash open

– After a bit of a choppy session yesterday gold is trading 0.36% higher leading into the European open on Wednesday. Silver has also moved into the black and trades 0.40% up at $23.73/oz. Looking at the rest of the commodities complex, copper (0.13%) and spot WTI (0.42%) are both trading higher too.

In terms of risk sentiment, the Nikkei 225 (0.59%) and Shanghai Composite (0.76%) had a much-needed pullback but the ASX still fell around -0.12%. Futures in Europe are pointing toward a positive open.

In FX markets, it was a pretty lackluster session overnight but the dollar index slipped 0.07% after some recent strength and the biggest mover was AUD/USD which rose 0.14%. BTC/USD has risen 1.58% overnight to trade at $45,339.

Looking at some of the news stories from overnight, RBNZ kept its official cash rate at 0.25% vs market expectations of a move to 0.50%.

UK July CPI +2.0% vs +2.2% y/y expected.

Australia Q2 wage price index +0.4% q/q vs +0.6% expected.

China reports 6 new local coronavirus cases vs 17 a day earlier.

Fed's Kashkari said, "I believe these will be short-lived high inflation readings". He also added that he thinks the end of this year or early next year are reasonable timelines for taper.

BHP is set to leave the FTSE 100 index after unveiling plans to scrap the dual listing of its shares in London and Sydney.

Looking ahead to the rest of the session highlights include EZ & Canadian CPI, U.S. building permits, weekly DoE's and the FOMC meeting minutes.

 

By Rajan Dhall

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

David

Gold stocks have highest cash flow ever, so why are prices down?

Gold stocks have highest cash flow ever, so why are prices down? Michael Gentile

– The gold mining sector is demonstrating excellent fundamentals, representing a complete disconnect between intrinsic value and market value, said Michael Gentile, strategic investor.

"The industry has never been better fundamentally at a time when the least amount of investors ever have interest in the sector," Gentile told David Lin, anchor for Kitco News.

Gentile cited the highest free cash flow the sector has seen in forty years, as well as the highest inflation-adjusted cash flow yield of any equity sector right now as being reasons for the gold stocks' undervaluation.

"The free cash flow yield of the gold sector, if you look at a 40-year chart from the 1970s to today, there's never been a time when the free cash flow yield of the gold sector has been higher," he said.

For Gentile's views on mergers and acquisitions in the gold sector, watch the video above. Follow David Lin on Twitter: @davidlin_TV.

By David Lin

For Kitco News

Kinesis Money the cheapest place to buy/sell Gold and Silver with Free secure storage

David