Gold’s week in the red, but is silver flashing ‘buy signal’?

Gold's week in the red, but is silver flashing 'buy signal'?

Gold saw a volatile $80 move this week, hitting the lowest levels since April 2020.

The latest macro data — hot inflation and better-than-expected retail sales — are giving the Federal Reserve leeway to continue aggressively raising rates. This is pushing the U.S. dollar and Treasuries up and gold down.

Here's a look at Kitco's top three stories of the week:

3. Gold price hits 2020 pandemic lows as Fed rate hike expectations weigh heavily on precious metal

2. Silver's 'buy signal' and why it is a good idea to hold commodities in recession, Goehring & Rozencwajg weighs in

1. Cathie Wood says Fed is making a mistake as calls for 100bps hike grow, Elon Musk confirms warning

By Anna Golubova

For Kitco News

Time to buy Gold and Silver on the dips

David

Â Gold, silver see price gains on more short covering, bargain hunting

Gold, silver see price gains on more short covering, bargain hunting

Gold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Monday, with gold notching a three-week high and silver a four-week high. Short covering from futures traders is featured in both metals, with cash market traders also doing some perceived bargain-basement buying after gold prices hit a 15-month low and silver a two-year low in July. October gold futures were last up $7.70 at $1,779.20. September Comex silver futures were last up $0.243 at $20.44 an ounce.

Global stock markets were mostly higher overnight, on this first trading day of August. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward lower openings when the New York day session beings, on corrective pullbacks and pauses after posting a very good month of July. The U.S. stock indexes are in near-term price uptrends on the daily bar charts amid better trader and investor risk appetite in the marketplace.

In overnight news, China’s official purchasing managers index (PMI) came in at 49.0 in July from 50.2 in June. A reading below 50.0 suggests contraction in the sector. Meantime, the Euro zone July manufacturing PMI was reported at 49.8 versus 52.1 in June.

Growth stocks will make a quick comeback before crashing again – Chris Vermeuelen

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices down and trading around $96.75 a barrel. Traders are awaiting an OPEC meeting Wednesday. The U.S. dollar index is lower in early U.S. trading, which is also supporting the metals markets. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 2.681%. The 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield is trading at 2.921%, to keep the yield curve inverted.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the U.S. manufacturing PMI, the ISM report on business manufacturing, the global manufacturing PMI, and construction spending.

Technically, the October gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, a price downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated and prices last Friday saw a bullish weekly high close that is one chart clue that a market bottom is in place. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,800.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the July low of $1,686.30. First resistance is seen at $1,790.00 and then at $1,800.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,764.10 and then at $1,750.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

September silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, a price downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated and prices last Friday closed at a bullish weekly high close, to suggest a market bottom is in place. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $21.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $19.00. First resistance is seen at $20.50 and then at $20.75. Next support is seen at $20.00 and then at last Friday’s low of $19.825. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

By Jim Wyckoff

For Kitco News

Time to buy Gold and Silver on the dips

David

Gold, silver rally as traders buy the early dip

JGold and silver futures prices are modestly up in midday U.S. trading Tuesday. Overnight losses were deemed by the precious metals bulls to be a bargain buying opportunity. Otherwise, some routine backing and filling on the charts has been featured as fresh fundamental inputs are awaited. April gold futures were last up $6.70 at $1,828.50 and March Comex silver was last up $0.154 at $23.23 an ounce.

Global stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are higher at midday. Corporate earnings reports are in the spotlight at present. While earnings reports have been mostly upbeat, some have not, including a few big companies. That and inflation worries are making the U.S. stock indexes wobbly. More and more, it’s looking like the Federal Reserve will be aggressive and raise the Fed funds rate by 0.5% at its March meeting. Historically, rising interest rates and rising inflation have been bearish for stock markets and bullish for the metals markets.

The U.S. data point of the week will be Thursday morning’s consumer price index report for January, expected to come in at up 7.2%, year-on-year. That would be a hot reading if the CPI number meets market expectations.

From one of the worst to best-performing assets? Gold price to tackle $2,100 by year-end, says Wells Fargo

The key outside markets today see crude oil prices lower and trading around $89.50 a barrel after prices last Friday hit a seven-year high. The U.S. dollar index is firmer early today. The U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching 1.954%, which is near a three-year high.

Technically, the April gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in February futures above solid resistance at the January high of $1,856.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the December low of $1,755.40. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $1,824.60 and then at $1,835.00. First support is seen at this week’s low of $1,807.50 and then at $1,800.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

March silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $24.00 an ounce. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the December low of $21.41. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $23.11 and then at $23.48. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $22.50 and then at $22.25. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

Technically, April gold futures prices hit a two-week high today. Bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the January high of $1,856.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the January low of $1,780.60. First resistance is seen at $1,835.40 and then at $1,850.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $1,816.00 and then at this week’s low of $1,807.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

March silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $24.00 an ounce. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the December low of $21.41. First resistance is seen at $23.48 and then at $23.75. Next support is seen at $23.00 and then at today’s low of $22.77. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

March N.Y. copper closed down 140 points at 444.85 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The copper bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage amid recent choppy trading. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the January high of 460.10 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the January low of 428.20 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 448.40 cents and then at this week’s high of 451.95 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 439.50 cents and then at 437.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

By Jim Wyckoff

For Kitco News

Time to buy Gold and Silver on the dips

David