There Is No ‘Bitcoin’ – What the SEC Doesn’t Get About Cryptocurrency

There Is No ‘Bitcoin' - What the SEC Doesn't Get About Cryptocurrency

There Is No ‘Bitcoin’ – What the SEC Doesn’t Get About Cryptocurrency

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been gone to significant lengths in an attempt to understand the crypto asset space. This effort is to be applauded. However, the SEC has failed to come to terms with one fundamental aspect of crypto assets and systems.

Namely, properly constructed crypto systems do not involve “persons” or “entities” and do not represent a form of property. For this reason, they do not have any analogue in the traditional financial world, nor can they fall under financial regulation.

In the traditional financial world, assets are a claim on a specific property. For example, a commodity, shares in a company or a debt owed.

Crypto assets, however, are not a claim on anything. What is bitcoin a claim to? Or ether?

Instead, crypto assets are a form of proof. They are cryptographic proof that a specific set of mathematical functions has been performed. They are proof that certain software instructions have been performed and of the algorithmic outputs of that software. And crucially, the mathematical functions are performed by nobody in particular, they are performed by the network as a whole.

Property is “ownership determined by law.” Crypto assets are not property because they are not determined by law – they are determined by maths. This presents some obvious issues when it comes to figuring out exactly how to regulate them.

There is no bitcoin

Many people today speak of cryptocurrencies in the shorthand of property. They say things like “Alice transferred a bitcoin to Bob,” but we shouldn’t let this metaphor confuse us.

In actual fact, there was no bitcoin that existed anywhere and it didn’t move from any one place to another.

In “The Matrix,” Neo understood the true nature of the world when he understood that “there is no spoon.” Likewise, we can only understand the true nature of blockchain when we recognize that “there is no bitcoin.”

Instead, what really happened is that Alice proved to Bob that she had certain secret knowledge and that she had used that knowledge to perform a mathematical operation. But wait, the rabbit hole goes even deeper.

Even “Alice” and “Bob” are misleading fictions. Alice is not necessarily a person, that is shorthand too. Alice is really only an address – an output of a hash function, that may or may not be associated with a specific “entity.”

Now, of course, sometimes Alice is a person. And sometimes Alice created a “token” (another metaphor) and sold it to Bob as an investment. In which case, arguably that was a securities offering and can be regulated by the SEC.

However, the SEC doesn’t stop there. The agency wants to regulate what happens to those tokens, as they interact with smart contracts too. In its November 16 “Statement on Digital Asset Securities Issuance and Trading,” the agency says:

“Any entity that provides a marketplace for bringing together buyers and sellers of securities, regardless of the applied technology, must determine whether its activities meet the definition of an exchange under the federal securities laws.”

An “entity” here refers to a legal person.

As an example, they use EtherDelta, and specifically its smart contract, saying:

“EtherDelta’s smart contract was coded to, among other things, validate order messages, confirm the terms and conditions of orders, execute paired orders, and direct the distributed ledger to be updated to reflect a trade.”

Here is where taking metaphorical thinking can easily go too far, and where the SEC is introducing vague and problematic language. EtherDelta, as an entity, provided various services (such as a webpage user interface for interacting with the smart contract). EtherDelta also developed the smart contract.

But who “provided” the smart contract? Who performed its functions? Not EtherDelta or anyone else in particular.

The SEC might regulate the EtherDelta website but to attempt to regulate the smart contract is a result of confusion.

The rabbit hole goes deeper

This confusion gets worse when the SEC talks about secondary markets for these “securities.”

Crypto assets are so new that even many experienced practitioners are confused and think that they represent a distinct property. As a result, as an industry, we have been far too willing to indulge the SEC view that since something was the product of a securities offering, it remains a security thereafter. Once we realize that there are no “tokens” and no “property,” we realize that this is a categorical error.

It becomes easy to see this error when one imagines the following scenario: Bob, having purchased the tokens from Alice sends them to a smart contract owned by nobody. He has given up claim of ownership – which would mean that no legal entity owns the “security.”

By definition, a security is an “investment contract.” A contract is “an agreement between legal persons, creating obligations that are enforceable by law.”

So for something to be a security, it must, therefore, (a) be between legal entities and (b) be enforceable by law (not math).

Tokens held by smart contracts fail both these tests. They cannot properly be described as securities. However, the SEC is suggesting something radically new: that a set of instructions which involves no agreement, no persons and is not enforced by law (but rather by math) can yet still be viewed not just as a contract but as a security. This is a radical departure from existing law.

Property laws and financial laws rely on enforcement by governments. Since there are many governments and their jurisdictions are limited, there is no truly global system of enforcement that is appropriate to the borderless world of the internet.

A huge potential benefit of crypto assets is that they overcome this problem — by not being a product of law or limited to its jurisdiction.

The SEC, for obvious reasons, would like to establish jurisdiction over crypto assets. However, this jurisdiction is only appropriate where there are legally enforceable contracts between legal entities.

For the SEC, or anyone, not to recognize this important distinction is a recipe for overreach and confusion. It has the potential to rob many of us for the benefits of a truly global, digital method of managing ownership and value.

 

Edan Yago

Nov 22, 2018 at 05:00 UTC

David

Bitcoin price plunges below $4,500 mark in new 2018 low

Bitcoin price plunges below $4,500 mark in new 2018 low

Bitcoin price plunges below $4,500 mark in new 2018 low

The price of bitcoin continued to plunge on Tuesday as it fell another 7% to $4,387, taking its losses to almost 30% in the past week.

A 14% tumble in the price of the world’s biggest and best-known cryptocurrency on Monday had taken bitcoin below $5,000 for the first time in 13 months. It is now at its lowest level since October last year.

Other cryptocurrencies have also declined in the past days.

Why central bank digital currencies will destroy bitcoin

Last December the cryptocurrency surged to an all-time high of $19,511 in highly volatile trading but fell back to $13,500 at the start of this year.

“The crypto bloodbath continues,” said Neil Wilson, the chief market analyst at Markets.com. “Things looks like they only get worse from here. Where is the incentive to buy? It does rather look like the bottom is coming out of this market.”

On Friday, the US Securities and Exchange Commission took action against two cryptocurrency startups that staged initial coin offerings, or ICOs, selling cryptocurrency tokens to the public. Airfox and Paragon Coin agreed to pay civil penalties for conducting token sales last year without registering them as securities offerings.

That sparked numerous warnings from central bankers and JP Morgan boss Jamie Dimon who declared in September 2017 that bitcoin was a fraud that would ultimately blow up.

However, this year bitcoin has become increasingly attractive to institutional investors. Fidelity Investments announced last month that it was launching a new company for institutional clients that will trade and store cryptocurrency assets. Fidelity said it wanted to make them more accessible to investors such as hedge funds, family offices and market intermediaries.

Central banks have also begun to discuss the idea of issuing their own digital currencies, as cash is used less and has nearly vanished in some countries, such as Sweden and China.

 

Nouriel Roubini

David

Bitcoin price latest update: Cryptocurrency value to INCREASE due to high US debt level

Bitcoin price latest update: Cryptocurrency value to INCREASE due to high US debt level

ShapeShift CEO Erik Voorhees has said cryptocurrencies will boom during the next global financial crisis. The finance expert at the global trading firm believes the high level of US debt will cripple the economy unless more money is printed. He argues this will lead to an increase in cryptocurrency investment.

He said: “When the next global financial crisis occurs, the world will realise organisations with $20trillion in debt can’t possibly ever pay it back.

“Thus must print it instead, and thus fiat is doomed.

“Watch what happens to crypto.”

US lawmakers keep increasing the country’s debt ceiling, allowing for the federal government to take on more and more debt.

His theory is the debt level of world economies is unsustainable and will put states under pressure the next time there is a financial crash.

As a result, he believes quantitive easing will have to come into force, the process whereby governments print money, to help pay off the money they owe.

The more money in circulation the less it is worth, meaning ordinary families could be set to see their savings decrease in value.

Mr Voorhees believes this in turn could lead to more people investing in cryptocurrencies.

However, digital currencies are also a financial risk for investors due to their history of extreme volatility.

In 2017, Bitcoin’s value rocketed to more than double its value, reaching a high $19,783 in December.

However, it then plunged in 2018 to a low of less than $6,000 in June.

Since then the online money has stabilised and has seen no major rises or falls in its value.

 

City & Business | Finance

11/11/2018

 

David

Bitcoin (BTC) Long Term Price Forecast

 

Bitcoin (BTC) Long Term Price Forecast

BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance levels: $7,200, $7,400, $7,600

Support levels: $6,400, $6,200, $6,000
 

The price of Bitcoin was range bound in the first week of November 2018. In retrospect, the digital currency was ranging above the $6,400 price level all through the month of October 2018. The major bearish event is that on October 11, the bears went deep into the $6,200 price level. While on October 15, the bulls had a price spike that reached the high of $7,600 but price pulled back to the low of $6,500.

That was why we had a price ranging above the $6,400 price level. On November 7, the price reached a high of $6,565.66 but was resisted. The digital currency was in a downward trend after the resistance at $6,600 price level. The digital currency is likely to fall because price is in the bearish trend zone. Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bearish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

 

By Azeez M – November 10, 2018

Bitcoin (BTC) Long Term Price Forecast

David

Bitcoin holding strong resistance at 6500/6550

Bitcoin holding strong resistance at 6500/6550

Bitcoin holding strong resistance at 6500/6550

 

Bitcoin holding strong resistance at 6500/6550 keeps the outlook negative targeting 6400 (now hit). This is the best support for today & therefore a break below 6350 is a sell signal targeting 6320 & 6220/6200 (we bottomed exactly here last week) before the October low at 6100/6055. A break below 6000 is the next sell signal targeting 5900/5880 & the low for this year at 5780. This is NOT expected to hold for long in the bear trend.

Quite strong resistance at 6500/6550 (this trade worked perfectly) but shorts need stops above 6600. Bulls are only in control on a break above here. We then need a break above 6760 to target 6825 & strong resistance at 7000/7050.

 

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.com | 05:16 GMT

David

Will Bitcoin cost $28,000 by 2020? Vinny Lingham bets $20,000 that it won’t

Will Bitcoin cost $28,000 by 2020? Vinny Lingham bets $20,000 that it won't

Will Bitcoin cost $28,000 by 2020? Vinny Lingham bets $20,000 that it won't

  • Vinny Lingham and Ronnie Moas bet on Bitcoin price movement.

  • BTC/USD resumes the decline during Asian hours.

The co-founder & CEO of the US-based startup Civic Vinny Lingham accepted the call from Ronnie Moas, the founder of investment company Standpoint Research, and bet $20,000 that Bitcoin price won't exceed $28,000 before December 31, 2019.

Moas believes that the demand for Bitcoin will be growing amid limited supply, which will lead to a substantial price increase up to $28,000 in 2019 and potentially to $50,000 by the end of 2020. Meanwhile, Lingham says that companies will have to sell their coins to cover expenses as mining and other cryptocurrency related activities are not that profitable anymore.

Whoever wins the bet, $20,000 will go to Free Ross charity, a group that provides a legal assistance to Silk Road creator Ross Ulbricht.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dropped to $6,440 in Asia after an initial attempt to recover above $6,500. The most popular coin is changing hands at $6,444 with the Relative Strength Index pointing to further declines. The initial support lies with $6,400 with SMA200, 1-hour located right under that level. If it is cleared, the downside may be extended towards $6,300 congestion zone.

 

Tanya Abrosimova Tanya Abrosimova

FXStreet | 04:07 GMT

David

BTCC TO SHUT DOWN MINING POOL FOLLOWING ‘BUSINESS ADJUSTMENTS’

BTCC TO SHUT DOWN MINING POOL FOLLOWING ‘BUSINESS ADJUSTMENTS'

BTCC TO SHUT DOWN MINING POOL FOLLOWING ‘BUSINESS ADJUSTMENTS’

The turbulent journey of the Bitcoin mining sector continues this week as BTCCPool announces it will close “indefinitely” November 30.

 

BTCC PULLS OUT OF MINING

The pool, which constitutes the mining arm of Hong Kong-based exchange BTCC (formerly BTCChina), began operating in 2014, yet rarely competed with giants such as Bitmain’s Antpool.

A statement confirmed the closure November 6, with officials remaining coy over the exact impetus behind the decision.

A rough translation reads:

Today, we regret to announce that due to business adjustments, the BTCC pool will shut down all mining servers on November 15 and will cease operations indefinitely from November 30.

The “adjustments” involved are not mentioned but come at a time when Bitcoin mining is a headache in terms of profitability due to long-term price suppression.

At the same time, the closure appears not to be an entirely permanent move, with BTCC hinting a return to the market could occur in future.

The statement concluded:

We firmly believe that the cryptoassets and the Blockchain industry represented by Bitcoin will continue to develop and improve.

[…] We will see you again!

MONEY STAYS IN MINING

In June, BTCC had stuck provisional plans to sell a 49 percent stake of BTCCPool to Value Convergence Holdings in a deal which would have raised around $18 million. No news has surfaced since the plans went public, and the status of the handover remains unknown.

Bitcoin mining’s household names meanwhile continue to see mixed fortunes.

While Bitmain grapples with mixed publicity over its financial health, BitFury today released details of a giant $80 million funding round from a basket of Asian and European investors.

Executive Vice President George Kikvadze said:

This private placement will take our corporate governance to the next level, broaden our financial strategic options, and ideally position us for our next phase of growth as the market matures […]

Like Bitmain, the company is rumored to be planning an IPO.

 

Wilma WooWILMA WOO | NOV 07, 2018 | 00:10

David

Bitcoin weekly price analysis – 6.11.2018

 

Bitcoin weekly price analysis – 6.11.2018

After dropping down to a low of $6,242 last week, bitcoin price started rising regularly hitting a week high of $6,529. Even though technical analysis of last week’s charts denoted that we are likely to witness a bearish market during most of the week’s trading sessions, a new upwards wave began manifesting itself last Wednesday following a short bearish move. The BTCUSD pair seems to be moving within a new rising upwards channel, which will not face significant resistance except around the $6,606 price level.

Bitcoin price and the news:

Last week witnessed circulation of news around a letter reporting supposed solvency of Tether (USDT), as a result to Tether’s new bank headquartered in the Bahamas (Deltec). Tether’s problems and allegations concerning Bitfinex’s insolvency have been raising significant concerns among the crypto community during the past few weeks.

Bitcoin traders are still waiting for serious decisions to come out from the SEC during the next few weeks. The SEC is expected to soon decide whether or not to approve Bitcoin ETFs. Also, the SEC is on its way to regulate ICOs with emphasis on three key elements of this blockchain based crowd funding process – issuers of ICOs, investors of unregistered ICOs, and exchanges facilitating trading of unregistered ICOs.

The retail banking giant JP Morgan is about to release its very own blockchain, which is expected to offer its huge client base a myriad of trading opportunities.

HTC, the Taiwanese mobile phone manufacturer, is launching its first blockchain-friendly smartphone, which is expected to feature compartmentalized storage of various forms of blockchain based data. The highly anticipated mobile phone will be available for purchase via cryptocurrencies only.

New rising upwards channel on the 4 hour BTCUSD chart:

Let’s examine the 4 hour BTCUSD chart from Bitfinex, while plotting the Williams Alligator’s SMAs, and the MACD indicator as shown on the below chart. We can note the following:

– Last week started with the market’s bears having the upper hand, managing to pull price downwards from around $6,512 all the way down to a week low of $6,242 on Wednesday. Thereafter, the market’s bulls gained control pushing the price steadily upwards to a week high of $6,529 on Sunday.

– Since last Wednesday, bitcoin price began recording higher lows during most of the trading sessions. Also, higher highs can be spotted on around 50% of the candlesticks on the 4 hour chart. The rising trend line formed by the highs, as well as the rising trend line formed by the lows formed a “rising upwards channel” (the two parallel green trend lines on the above chart). Bitcoin price has been moving throughout this new rising channel since last Wednesday, and is likely to continue rising throughout this channel until facing resistance around the $6,606 price level, which represents the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement between the high at $7,788 and the low at $6,242.

– The SMAs of the Williams Alligator have re-aligned themselves to exhibit a bullish alignment as bitcoin price began rising throughout the new rising channel. On Sunday, the green SMA (lips) moved on top of the red SMA (teeth), which rose above the blue SMA (jaw). As such, it is said that the alligator’s mouth has opened and will start eating, so we can expect to see a stronger bullish wave during the upcoming few days.

– The aforementioned bullish signals are confirmed by the MACD which is also exhibiting a bullish signal. The blue MACD line is on top of the red signal line and both are sloping in an upwards direction in the positive territory.

Ichimoku Cloud still red on the 1 day BTCUSD chart:

Now, let’s examine the 1 day BTCUSD chart from Bitfinex while plotting the Ichimoku Cloud, the RSI, and MACD indicator as shown on the below chart. We can note the following:

– The bullish signals we spotted on the 4 hour chart are not confirmed by analyzing the 1 day chart, as the Ichimoku Cloud is reddish (bearish), and its Conversion line (blue) has moved below the Base line (red). Also, candlesticks are below the cloud.

– The RSI level is near 50, which is more or less indecisive. The MACD indicator is in the negative territory and the MACD line is below the signal line.

Conclusion:

After recording a low of $6,242, a new bullish wave started building up last week pushing bitcoin price to a week high of $6,529. As bitcoin price is now moving throughout a new rising upwards channel, we can expect it to continue rising during the upcoming week towards the resistance around $6,606, even though we cannot confirm the bullish move by analyzing the 1 day BTCUSD chart.

 

POSTED BY: TAMER SAMEEH NOVEMBER 6, 2018

Bitcoin weekly price analysis – 6.11.2018

David

BTC/USD Price Analysis – Fate of Nine Bitcoin ETFs to Be Decided After Today

BTC/USD Price Analysis – Fate of Nine Bitcoin ETFs to Be Decided After Today

Encouragingly, the market is bullish and Bitcoin is up printing a three-bar reversal pattern as participants reject lower lows. We expect the recovery to continue this week as the SEC is set to announce the fate of nine Bitcoin ETF as the commenting period concludes today. Should these proposals be compliant with SEC stringent requirements then BTC/USD price could erupt above $7,200 closing the year on a high.

Latest Bitcoin News

Endorsement by the US SEC is always a boost for any crypto asset. Any unfavorable assessment or comment in a bad light can quickly mean the asset is a security. That’s undesirable and extra work for investors who must file tax returns whenever they make crypto transactions. That is extra work that prevent direct investment. The question in everybody’s mind right now is news about Bitcoin ETF whose comment date ends today.

Up until now the SEC has been adamant, denying the roll out of nine Bitcoin ETF from Direxion, Proshares and GraniteShares. Apparently, we have come to learn that the rejection was because of the SEC commissioners delegating these tasks to their staff. They did recall and ordered comments from interest parties to be made by Nov 5-which is today. From there on, we expect the SEC to make their decision but the exact time remain tentative.

Earlier, it was widely reported that the SEC would qualify VanEx SolidX Bitcoin ETF after a “successful” meeting between representatives of the VanEx, CBoE and some SEC commissioners. Hopefully, they make a favorable decision and allow firms that meet their stringent listing requirements a go-ahead injecting the market with the much-needed momentum.

BTC/USD Price Analysis

The recovery of the BTC/USD is an indication of a bottoming crypto market. Considering the +75 percent drop this year, odds are we may see a recovery this quarter. Aside from technical factors, the simmering trade war between the US and China could trigger capital flights from the stock market to Bitcoin which is borderless. As such, last week’s 0.2 percent gain could increase as prices bounce off from the $6,000 support line and building on the bull pin bar of last week. In line with our last BTC/USD price analysis, it would be ideal if prices thrust past the resistance trend line connecting the last nine months highs and print above $7,000–$7,200 buy trigger line. Thereafter, first targets would be $8,500 and later $10,000.

Technically, BTC/USD pair is trading within a bear break out pattern following Oct 29 price action. But, after yesterday’s rapid gains, we now have a three-bar, bull reversal pattern. Besides, our last BTC/USD plan will most likely be null after today. Regardless of the greens, we recommend patience until we see gains above $7,000 resistance level. Then, the trend would be clear and price action would be trading above a key resistance level at the back of high reversal volume.

 

DALMAS NGETICH | NOVEMBER 5, 2018 | 2:00 AM

David

“Currently, Bitcoin is gaining strength,” Report by OneAlpha says

“Currently, Bitcoin is gaining strength,” Report by OneAlpha says

“Currently, Bitcoin is gaining strength,” Report by OneAlpha says

"The December 2017 and January 2018 boom and bust had a cleansing effect on the ecosystem"

A report published in October by OneAlpha revealed that Bitcoin’s market was gaining strength after the 2018 correction. The stability of the last weeks is a sign of maturity of the markets that seem to have passed the hype stages -both bullish and bearish- of the previous months.

OneAlpha is an Israeli firm part of First Digital Assets Group; a fintech that defines itself as “the leading digital assets group in Europe.”

OneAlpha Report: Bearish Trend Is A Good Thing For The Market

According to the report, the current bearish trend was necessary. This decline in the markets served as a “relief” and generated a “cleansing effect” on the ecosystem.

 

The facts seem to prove the OneAlpha team right. After the abnormal bullish streak of 2017, many people entered the market in an abrupt and immature way. The 2018 correction seems to have given Bitcoin back the stability needed to gain more credibility as a “market” instead of its previous “bubble” image:

“From our perspective, the prolonged bear market provided the sector with a much-needed relief, lowering valuations to a more sensible level. Despite the considerable correction, a large portion of the value represents the future potential of the network rather than its current one. The December 2017 and January 2018 boom and bust had a cleansing effect on the ecosystem, removing many of the speculators and leaving mainly real investors, operators, and builders in the market. This is what was necessary to move forward and build a successful ecosystem.”

Bitcoin: Best Currency / Ethereum: Best Platform

The report is clear in dividing the cryptocurrency market into different branches. The first one is composed of well-known cryptocurrencies. For OneAlpha, 2018 has been a year during which Bitcoin has strengthened, recovering part of the influence taken away by other altcoins:

“Currently, Bitcoin is gaining strength and captures more than half of the total crypto market cap. Ethereum captures 10% of the total market cap. There are currently more than 2,000 traded crypto assets and more than 1,000 unique tokens worth around $14 billion. 87% of the tokens are Ethereum based, with NEO and Waves capturing around 2.4% each …

Of this valuation, it is noticeable that Bitcoin captures about 71% of all currencies and Ether 54% of all platforms.”

An Optimistic View Of The Future

The Report also highlights the importance that ICOs have had in increasing interaction with the public (despite cases of fraud and constant failures). It also points out the increase in institutional investments and blockchain technology patents registered in China and the United States.

The report gives a fairly positive view of the situation considering the facts from a broad perspective. Market behavior in 2018 is, according to analysts, a natural and necessary reaction to the craziness of 2017:

“We are experiencing a phase of sobriety and maturation – a decline in retail investment and a more careful, responsible approach from institutional investors on one hand and regulators around the world on the other. A long bear market might be the ideal climate to let the dust settle and examine, both internally and externally, the true possibilities that lay within the cryptocurrency and blockchain ecosystem. Ultimately, the goal is to take a step further and bridge the gap between consumers, traditional investors, and blockchain technology.”

 

Jose Antonio Lanz by Jose Antonio Lanz November 4, 2018 in Bitcoin News 0

David